Sweden is on track to eliminate cervical cancer by 2027

02 March 2026

Sweden is well on its way to control the spread of human papillomavirus (HPV) and by doing so, virtually eliminate cervical cancer by 2027. If successful, it would be a historic first: a country eradicating a cancer altogether. How? By doubling down on both HPV vaccination and cervical screening — building on existing school programs and routine screening, and adding proactive, targeted measures to reach those at highest risk, explains Dr. Sara Arroyo Mühr.

    “We already have everything we need: free school-based vaccination for both girls and boys, free screening for women aged 23 to 70, high-quality data registers and solid research showing this works. And yet, we saw that using these tools would eliminate cancer, but only in 2039. Until then, women would still be getting cervical cancer. So we stepped out of the lab and said: enough is enough. Let’s fully use the tools, and our data to stop this disease as soon as possible.”

    Dr. Arroyo Mühr is associate professor, tumor biologist and coordinator at the Center for Cervical Cancer Elimination at the world-renowned Karolinska Institutet in Stockholm. She has spent years researching HPV and cervical cancer, a disease almost always caused by HPV.

    “It’s a cancer that kills hundreds of thousands of women every year around the world. Preventable deaths. Because we do have the tools. Let’s use them to stop this cancer from developing in the first place. Even for those who survive, the aftermath can be severe and lifelong.”

    Early detection improves treatment outcomes

    A cornerstone of Sweden’s action plan is prevention through vaccination and screening. Since 2010, HPV vaccination has been part of school-based programs for girls, and since 2020, for boys too. HPV also causes cancers that affect men.

    “Vaccination happens at school, through the school nurse or doctor,” Sara explains. “We want to make it as easy and accessible as possible. Parents need to give consent, and 9 out of 10 do. In just a couple of weeks, we vaccinate nearly all 10- and 11-year-olds in the country.”

    “Besides vaccination, we have a population-based screening program. Women between 23 and 70 are invited to undergo free HPV screening. If they are HPV negative, they are called every five years up to age 49, and every seven years after that. Early detection significantly improves treatment outcomes, especially for cervical cancer. If they are HPV positive, we follow them up closely to ensure the immune system clears the virus, and treat if necessary, to prevent the development of serious lesions. And ultimately, to stop cancer before it ever begins.”

    “We’ve improved the screening program to make it more convenient and respectful of women’s privacy and bodies,” says Sara, “The test can be done by a healthcare professional or as a self-test. Women receive the self-sampling kit at home, collect the sample themselves in a private and comfortable setting, and then return it by mail within a prepaid envelope. Many women appreciate that self-sampling gives them more control and preserves their sense of intimacy. Two-thirds chose this option.”

    Persistence pays off

    “Follow-up is key,” Sara stresses. “Every woman gets a personal invitation letter to participate in the screening program. If she doesn’t show up, she’ll get another one the following year — and the next, until she does. Thanks to our IT system, we monitor the process and make sure that no one is left behind. Screening on a large scale is crucial to eliminate cervical cancer.”

    Moving faster with targeted catch-up programs

    As mentioned, initial models predicted that school vaccination and broad screening could eliminate cervical cancer in Sweden by 2039. “Too slow for us,” says Sara. “So we dove into the data and found that most virus transmission was happening among people below 30. Above that age, the transmission is low because they have fewer sexual partners.”

    In Sweden, those below 23 were already fully vaccinated, and therefore protected. Of the ones born between 24 and 30, only around 60% were vaccinated, with an older version of the actual vaccine.”

    “In response, we launched a catch-up program in 2021: simultaneous vaccination and screening for women born between 1994 and 1999. We leveraged both covid vaccination centers and screening centers. Today, we have over 3,000 authorized vaccinators across Sweden — GPs, gynecologists, midwives — all playing a vital role.”

    “The idea is simple,” says Sara. “We offer vaccination to everyone aged 23 to 30. Vaccination protects against future HPV infections but not against an infection that’s already there. That’s why it is also essential to test for HPV.”

    “If they test positive, we follow them up carefully to see if their immune system clears the virus. If not, and a lesion develops, we treat it early — long before it can turn into pre-cancer. Once the infection is gone and vaccination is done, they’re also protected.”

    “We have a total of 350,000 women aged 23-30 in Sweden. To succeed and achieve elimination, at least 70% of these women need to be vaccinated. The rest will be protected by the so-called herd immunity. Some regions, like Värmland, Kalmar, Västernorrland and Halland have already surpassed that. Others, like Stockholm, are lagging a bit behind at around 53%. Nationally, coverage is at 60%, and rising.”

    “We should never think that cervical cancer is easy to treat. While treatment options exist, they can be very difficult, painful, even life-changing. That’s why prevention through vaccination and regular screening is absolutely crucial.”

    Creative outreach has helped

    “One of our biggest challenges was simply making young women aware that they’re eligible for free HPV vaccination,” says Dr. Arroyo Mühr. “We’ve tried almost everything — personal letters, online messages, media coverage, and targeted social media campaigns. We’re also on campuses, meeting them where they are.”

    “Yes, we’re chasing them — in their best interest, and in the interest of public health. And we’ve had incredible support from policymakers, patient organizations, and the Swedish Cancer Society.”

    Some of the more creative strategies include a 2024 campaign where women could receive a free HPV vaccine at the movie theater in exchange for a cinema ticket — a move that resulted in over 600 additional vaccinations. “We’ve also partnered with mobile vaccination buses that usually give tick-borne disease shots. Now, they offer HPV vaccines too.”

    Public funding for prevention: worth every krona

    The plan is ambitious and not without a cost: it involves extensive research, vaccines, national screening, individual invitations to hundreds of thousands of women, public campaigns, and data analysis — all funded by the Swedish government.

    “But it’s undoubtedly cheaper than the cost of treating cancer and managing its long-term consequences,” says Dr. Sara Arroyo Mühr. “And most importantly — it works. That’s what matters. The cost of not doing it and treatment is a million times higher.”

    Sweden has collected cervical screening data since 1964, with millions of data points. “The results are crystal clear,” she says. “HPV types 16 and 18 — the most dangerous — have been reduced by 98–99%, even though only 83% of youth are vaccinated. That’s the power of herd immunity. The data speaks for itself. There’s no room for subjectivity here.”

    2027: the tipping point

    Current models show that Sweden is on track to effectively eliminate cervical cancer by 2027. “We only need 70% of women aged 23-30 to get vaccinated. We’re almost there — just one last push,” says Sara.

    Of course, not everyone will be vaccinated or screened. “Some individuals may not respond well to the vaccine due to genetic factors, or may not be able to receive it due to immunosuppressive conditions. But these cases are rare — and that’s where herd immunity plays a crucial role, protecting those who can’t be protected individually.”

    “When we talk about ‘elimination’ in public health, we don’t mean zero cases,” she explains. “We mean reducing the incidence to fewer than 4 cases per 100,000 people. At that point, cervical cancer is no longer a public health threat. And that’s exactly what we’re aiming for.”

    Still, she emphasizes, “We don’t plan to leave anyone behind. Our commitment is to reach every woman.”

    First cancer we can prevent with vaccination

    “Look, we’re all into tracking our health these days. Our smartwatches count our steps, monitor our heart rate, even our oxygen levels. We pay attention to the food we eat and the exercise we get. Taking charge of your health is fantastic. But don’t forget that prevention through vaccination and screening is a crucial part of that as well.”

    “For the first time in history, we can actually prevent a cancer with a vaccine. Every woman below 30 should know this — and check her vaccination status. Most of us don’t even know what shots we got as kids. I didn’t either! And please, all eligible women should go to screening. Don’t put it off for the ‘next week’ that never comes. Most cancer cases happen because of delays like that.”

    “We should never think that cervical cancer is easy to treat. While treatment options exist, they can be very difficult, painful, even life-changing. That’s why prevention through vaccination and regular screening is absolutely crucial.”

    “Treatment — which is neither free nor even available in most countries — can be harsh. You might lose your uterus, and with it, your chance to have children. In more advanced cases, part of the colon or bladder may need to be removed, leaving you with a stoma.”

    “The pain, both physical and emotional, is well documented and can be overwhelming. Many patients say no painkiller fully dulls the pain. Surviving cervical cancer doesn’t always mean returning to the quality of life you had — and it’s certainly not a bed of roses. But here’s the thing: we now have everything we need to prevent this disease. So let’s use it.”

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